Bond managers are doubling down on bets that central banks’ monetary policy will diverge, even as the inflation fear unleashed by the war in Iran boosts the case for higher interest rates.
Bond managers are doubling down on bets that central banks’ monetary policy will diverge, even as the inflation fear unleashed by the war in Iran boosts the case for higher interest rates.
Crude oil futures charts on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Monday, March 9, 2026. The war in the Middle East sparked fresh turmoil in global markets as oil smashed through $100 a barrel, spurring losses in stocks and bonds. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
UBS Asset Management is betting the market has gotten too far ahead of itself positioning for interest-rate hikes by the Bank of England and the European Central Bank.
UBS Asset Management is betting the market has gotten too far ahead of itself positioning for interest-rate hikes by the Bank of England and the European Central Bank.
A dramatic selloff in the UK’s bonds since conflict broke out in the Middle East is a buying opportunity for a handful of investors willing to brave the volatility.
A dramatic selloff in the UK’s bonds since conflict broke out in the Middle East is a buying opportunity for a handful of investors willing to brave the volatility.
Investors betting on a hawkish response to rising oil prices could be misreading the Federal Reserve, according to Bank of America Corp., which warns that supply shocks can also result in periods of stable interest rates and even deep cuts.
Investors betting on a hawkish response to rising oil prices could be misreading the Federal Reserve, according to Bank of America Corp., which warns that supply shocks can also result in periods of stable interest rates and even deep cuts.
Until the conflict with Iran broke out, President Donald Trump was getting — by design or by chance — what he appeared to want in three pivotal financial markets: lower oil prices and Treasury yields, and a weaker dollar.
Until the conflict with Iran broke out, President Donald Trump was getting — by design or by chance — what he appeared to want in three pivotal financial markets: lower oil prices and Treasury yields, and a weaker dollar.
A sign displays gas prices in Crockett, California on March 2.
Until the conflict with Iran broke out, President Donald Trump was getting — by design or by chance — what he appeared to want in three pivotal financial markets: lower oil prices and Treasury yields, and a weaker dollar.
Until the conflict with Iran broke out, President Donald Trump was getting — by design or by chance — what he appeared to want in three pivotal financial markets: lower oil prices and Treasury yields, and a weaker dollar.
A sign displays gas prices in Crockett, California on March 2.
The US-Israeli war on Iran is rekindling inflation concerns across financial markets, sapping the outlook for global bonds that had just posted their best start to a year since the pandemic.
The US-Israeli war on Iran is rekindling inflation concerns across financial markets, sapping the outlook for global bonds that had just posted their best start to a year since the pandemic.
TEHRAN, IRAN - MARCH 2: The aftermath of Israeli and U.S. airstrikes is seen at Nilufar Square in the heart of the Iranian capital Tehran on March 2, 2026. Several buildings sustained heavy damage and were rendered unusable following the bombardment in central Tehran. (Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Allianz Global Investors is considering purchasing dollars after months betting against the US currency as the war in the Middle East revives its status as a haven asset.
Allianz Global Investors is considering purchasing dollars after months betting against the US currency as the war in the Middle East revives its status as a haven asset.
The Swiss National Bank said it stands ready to intervene in currency markets, hardening its tone on foreign exchange to respond to reverberations from the Iran crisis.
The Swiss National Bank said it stands ready to intervene in currency markets, hardening its tone on foreign exchange to respond to reverberations from the Iran crisis.
The Swiss National Bank said it stands ready to intervene in currency markets, hardening its tone on foreign exchange to respond to reverberations from the Iran crisis.
The Swiss National Bank said it stands ready to intervene in currency markets, hardening its tone on foreign exchange to respond to reverberations from the Iran crisis.
Europe’s biggest asset manager is warming to Japanese government bonds for the first time in three decades, joining a growing group of foreign investors taking a long-term bullish view on the nation’s debt.
Europe’s biggest asset manager is warming to Japanese government bonds for the first time in three decades, joining a growing group of foreign investors taking a long-term bullish view on the nation’s debt.
The Swiss franc could surge as much as 17% to the dollar amid growing confidence in the currency’s haven status in the face of US policy uncertainty, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.
The Swiss franc could surge as much as 17% to the dollar amid growing confidence in the currency’s haven status in the face of US policy uncertainty, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.
Banknotes in denominations of 10, 20, 50 100, 200 and 1000 Swiss francs are photographed in Lausanne on December 23, 2025. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP via Getty Images)
The Swiss franc could surge as much as 17% to the dollar amid growing confidence in the currency’s haven status in the face of US policy uncertainty, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.
The Swiss franc could surge as much as 17% to the dollar amid growing confidence in the currency’s haven status in the face of US policy uncertainty, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.
Banknotes in denominations of 10, 20, 50 100, 200 and 1000 Swiss francs are photographed in Lausanne on December 23, 2025. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP via Getty Images)
For the first time in his career, Jupiter Asset Management’s Mark Nash is placing a long-term, strategic bet that Japanese government bonds will rise.
Sanae Takaichi, Japan's prime minister and president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), listens to a question during a news conference at the party's headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Monday, Feb. 9, 2026. Takaichi’s ruling coalition secured an overwhelming majority in Sunday’s lower-house vote, giving her a clear mandate to pursue fiscal expansionary policies that have already driven Japanese stocks to all-time highs.
Citigroup Inc. thinks it’s too early to sell the pound now, instead targeting a weaker currency in the second quarter when it sees a ramp up in political risks coinciding with interest-rate cuts for a “double whammy” blow.
Citigroup Inc. thinks it’s too early to sell the pound now, instead targeting a weaker currency in the second quarter when it sees a ramp up in political risks coinciding with interest-rate cuts for a “double whammy” blow.
The pound has bounced back against the dollar and recovered some ground versus the euro this week
UK government bonds and the pound came under pressure as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fended off calls to resign, rattling investors worried about another bout of political uncertainty.
UK government bonds and the pound came under pressure as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fended off calls to resign, rattling investors worried about another bout of political uncertainty.
UK government bonds and the pound came under pressure as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fended off calls to resign, rattling investors worried about another bout of political uncertainty.
UK government bonds and the pound came under pressure as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fended off calls to resign, rattling investors worried about another bout of political uncertainty.
Treasuries edged higher to open a consequential week, with traders awaiting readings on the labor market and inflation for signals on the strength of the US economy.
Treasuries edged higher to open a consequential week, with traders awaiting readings on the labor market and inflation for signals on the strength of the US economy.
The US Treasury Department in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Jan. 2, 2026.
In a week when political upheaval and expectations of imminent Bank of England interest-rate cuts weighed heavily on the pound, strategists warned that the currency risks sliding toward a three-year low against the euro.
In a week when political upheaval and expectations of imminent Bank of England interest-rate cuts weighed heavily on the pound, strategists warned that the currency risks sliding toward a three-year low against the euro.
Investors may return to longer-dated Japanese debt after this weekend’s snap election, with big asset managers pinpointing 10-year yields reaching 2.5% as a possible trigger to buy, according to a Mizuho strategist.
Investors may return to longer-dated Japanese debt after this weekend’s snap election, with big asset managers pinpointing 10-year yields reaching 2.5% as a possible trigger to buy, according to a Mizuho strategist.
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