An ad for Kalshi in 2024. The huge popularity of Kalshi and Polymarket has raised fears about how susceptible they are to manipulation by those with insider information.
The agency that polices the industry does not have the staffing, the legal tools or the will to broadly crack down on wagers that are easily manipulated, experts say.
The agency that polices the industry does not have the staffing, the legal tools or the will to broadly crack down on wagers that are easily manipulated, experts say.
Kalshi, a leading prediction market, referred 32 possible insider traders to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in the three months ending in June.
Last year, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission overruled its enforcement attorneys and killed a separate inquiry into whether the Trump-tied company was illegally serving U.S. customers.
Last year, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission overruled its enforcement attorneys and killed a separate inquiry into whether the Trump-tied company was illegally serving U.S. customers.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission purged its ranks, dialed back its enforcement and boosted industries in which President Trump’s family is heavily invested.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission purged its ranks, dialed back its enforcement and boosted industries in which President Trump’s family is heavily invested.
Like at least other 14 states, Minnesota has wrestled with how to regulate the popular prediction market sites. Federal officials sued the state over its new law.
Like at least other 14 states, Minnesota has wrestled with how to regulate the popular prediction market sites. Federal officials sued the state over its new law.
Senators voted unanimously to prohibit betting practices in the chamber after some users made hundreds of thousands of dollars online by accurately predicting U.S. military actions.
Senators voted unanimously to prohibit betting practices in the chamber after some users made hundreds of thousands of dollars online by accurately predicting U.S. military actions.
Anonymous users of prediction markets like Kalshi can bet on a certain outcome of future events, including major policy decisions of the U.S. government.
The White House has warned staff not to wager on government decisions, but his family’s involvement with these firms undermines the president’s message.
The White House has warned staff not to wager on government decisions, but his family’s involvement with these firms undermines the president’s message.
President Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., has ties to two of the industry’s top prediction market firms, including Polymarket, a platform that prosecutors say a U.S. soldier used to place bets using classified information.
People standing near a police station in Tehran that was damaged in U.S.-Israeli attacks. Over a hundred people made more than $10,000 by betting that the United States would strike Iran on Feb. 28.